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Like other prediction markets, Kalshi lets users make trades based on a variety of different subjects and events. For example, you could participate in a market focused on the results of a basketball game, or something more unusual, like who'll win the current season of Survivor. Despite resembling gambling, online predictive markets aren't currently regulated by state gambling laws, and instead classify bets as a type of futures contract, placing them under the purview of the CFTC. That hasn't stopped states from trying to regulate prediction markets anyway. For example, Nevada sued Kalshi for operating a sports gambling market without a permit earlier in February.
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在实践中，只要凑够国会三分之二多数（130席中的87票），总统便可能被罢免。而秘鲁国会高度碎片化，没有任何政党拥有稳定多数，临时联盟随时瓦解，结果是总统几乎无法形成长期政策预期。
26 Feb 2026 21 min read。业内人士推荐搜狗输入法下载作为进阶阅读